+44 (0)20 7000 8435     hrey@london.edu     London Business School, Regent's Park, London, NW1 4SA  
 |   |  Contact  |  Login

Policy Papers

The Global Financial System, the Real Rate of Interest and a Long History of Boom-Bust Cycles.
Andrew Crockett Memorial Lecture 2017
Rey, H
Date Published: 03/07/2017

Abstract:
Financial cycles strongly determine real short-term interest rates. Wealth increases rapidly during financial booms, faster than consumption itself. As a consequence, the consumption to wealth ratio declines, as happened in the 'Roaring 20s' and the 'Exuberant 2000s'. In the
subsequent busts, savings increase and keep real interest rates low. The related global financial cycle constrains monetary policy independence, even for countries with flexible exchange rates, transforming the Mundellian trilemma into a dilemma. Tackling these issues calls for combinations of monetary and scal policy coordination, macro-prudential policies, and possibly capital controls. It also means considering the role of the US as a provider of safe assets, and asking whether a multipolar system would be advantageous.
Citation:
Rey, H. The Global Financial System, the Real Rate of Interest and a Long History of Boom-Bust Cycles., Andrew Crockett Memorial Lecture, BIS 2017


Search Google Scholar for this entry





London Business School
Regent's Park
London
NW1 4SA
hrey@london.edu
+44 (0)20 7000 8435
Copyright © 2024   Helene Rey
Website Design & Development for Schools By VisioSoft   |   T&C
User Guide   5  


Selct an hour and a minute and then click on Set Time

Selected Time:  _:_

Hours
Minutes
 
Set Time